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Publicado em Dec. 12, 2022

FIFA World Cup 2022 – Qatar Odds

12/12/2022 - Analysis of yesterday's matches according to Artificial Intelligence

France: 2         

England: 1    

           

France had 37% of performance relative to a team acting at maximum performance and England had 58%.

 

The previous article gave a 51% chance of victory for England. By AI, the intensity of England was higher. Goals define the winner, but it is worth evaluating the possible details and explanations for the results of the match.  

 

          

                       

Relative intensity in the game:    

           

        France: 39%

        England: 61%

           

Finishes:    

           

        Regular number of submissions in the game, 21.

        France: had a regular number of submissions. The goal-direction rate was 63%, which is an excellent rate.

        England: had a good number of shots compared to a team acting at maximum performance. The goal-direction rate was 62%, which is an excellent rate.

        Most successful finishers: England-Harry Kane, striker, finishing 4 times. Despite having scored a goal, he missed a penalty with 10 minutes left in the game.

           

Disarms:       

           

        France: neutralized 7% of the opponent's plays. Rate below average.

        England: neutralized 13% of the opponent's plays. Above average rate.

           

        England-Harry Maguire, defender and England-Jude Bellingham, midfielder were the ones who most disarmed.

           

Passes:

           

        France: had a good rate. Used 15% of long passes as resources.

        England: had rate acting at maximum performance. Used 11% of long passes as resources.

        England-Harry Maguire, defender was the one who hit the most passes.

           

What to keep: 

           

        France: rate of correct shots

        England: shots on target and tackles rate

           

What to improve:          

           

        France: rate of tackles

        England: number of finishes

           

The tireless of the game were:  

           

        England-Harry Maguire, halfback

        England-John Stones, defender

        England-Declan Rice-VOL

           

The best performances:     

           

        Harry Maguire, England defender

        John Stones, England defender

        Kyle Walker, England winger

           

Worst performance:       

           

        Kingsley Coman, France striker

        Mason Mount, England midfielder

 

 


 

Morocco: 1    

Portugal: 0      

           

Morocco had 26% of performance relative to a team working at maximum performance and Portugal had 65%.

 

If from the 4 probabilities calculated for the 4th finals, it was necessary to give a certainty of victory, the article would indicate Portugal beating Morocco. The same would have occurred between Spain and Morocco in the round of 16. It is worth evaluating below if there is any game pattern explained by the AI ​​about Morocco's victories.


    

                       

Relative intensity in the game:    

           

        Morocco: 28%

        Portugal: 72%

           

Finishes:    

           

        Regular number of finishes in the game, 20.

        Morocco: had a good number of submissions compared to a team acting at maximum performance. The goal-direction rate was 40%, which is regular

        Portugal: had a good number of submissions compared to a team acting at maximum performance. The goal-direction rate was 40%, which is regular

        Who scored the most goals: Portugal-João Félix, striker, finishing twice.

 

        It is interesting to observe that a team with a much lower game intensity had a similar number of finalizations, still having the same rate of correct finalizations. This is an interesting balance point.

           

Disarms:       

           

        Morocco: neutralized 7% of the opponent's moves. Rate below average.

        Portugal: neutralized 24% of the opponent's moves. Above average rate.

           

        Morocco-Jawad El Yamiq, defender and Morocco-Achraf Hakimi, winger were the ones who disarmed the most.

 

        Portugal's tackle rate is way above average.

           

Passes:

           

        Morocco: needs to evolve. Mistakes in passes can mean a defeat. Used 19% of long passes as resources.

        Portugal: had a good rate. Used 11% of long passes as resources.

        Portugal-Rúben Dias, defender was the one who hit the most passes.

 

        Morocco had an above average rate in long passes, which denotes a running game and explains, in part, the high rate of loss of balls and perhaps the high number of finalizations.

           

What to keep: 

           

        Morocco: rate of correct shots

        Portugal: rate of tackles and rate of accurate shots

           

What to improve:          

           

        Morocco: rate of tackles

        Portugal: number of submissions

           

The tireless of the game were:  

           

        Portugal-Rúben Dias, defender

        Portugal-Pepe, defender

        Portugal-Bernardo Silva, midfielder

           

The best performances:     

           

        Rúben Dias, defender of Portugal

        Pepe, defender of Portugal

        Bernardo Silva, Portugal midfielder

           

Worst performance:       

           

        Gonçalo Ramos, Portugal striker

        João Félix, Portugal striker

 

 

Artificial Intelligence does not understand football, but it reveals patterns and important details for professionals, specialists and executives who want to identify key points for consistent improvement in their businesses.

 

One of the great advantages of AI is the capacity for in-depth analysis in real time, keeping the business in question at a high level of dynamism.

 

(*) FIF-AI: Football Intensity Factor, developed with the application of AI - Artificial Intelligence applied to football data generated from high-performance games and updated with continuous learning techniques.

 


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Ricardo Villaça

Ricardo Villaça

Chief Artificial Intelligence Officer

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