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Publicado em Aug. 8, 2022

IA Explains Why the "Rooster turned into a Chicken"

Copa do Brasil 2022 - Flamengo 2 x 0 Atlético-MG

   IA Explains Why the "Rooster turned into a Chicken"

Copa do Brasil 2022 - Flamengo 2 x 0 Atlético-MG



“Bless you, 80 km to hell”. The banners placed by the red-black crowd were repeated as the bus with the Atlético Mineiro delegation approached Rio de Janeiro. Foreshadowing of the indescribable spectacle inside the Maracanã. Crowded, cloud of red and black smoke, which delayed the game by almost ten minutes, firecrackers bursting in all parts of the stadium, the mosaic giving “welcome to hell”, the mass standing on the chairs warning that love ends and still fans on the edge between the two fans, making provocations.


That was the tone of the game at Maracanã that eliminated Atlético in the Copa do Brasil. The Atletico fans had a great party in the two games that preceded this one, in Minas Gerais, where they beat Flamengo on both occasions. Whenever football teaches lessons in overcoming, learning to win and lose and fans use emotion for good, it will be beautiful to watch and get involved.

In the field, the Performance Factor - FP-IA or FP, Artificial Intelligence developed for football, Flamengo had 52% of performance, against 48% of Atlético. Important details made the difference on the scoreboard and yes, Atlético had the conditions to change the history of the game, but for FP this was a very favorable game for Flamengo.


The most important fundamental, according to the factor, is the shot on goal. A high performance team must shoot at least 16 times per game. Just as important as shooting on goal is the shot on goal. Here we already have the first important explanation. Flamengo kicked 20 times with 45% of assertiveness, against 7 of Atlético with 0% of assertiveness. Kicking and not letting kick is an excellent advantage. arrascaeta and Gabigol was the one who stood out in certain shots on goal, while Hulk, Rodinei, Pedro and Everton Ribeiro were the ones who most missed the direction.


Another very important fundamental in high performance teams and that help in obtaining good finishing opportunities, are the tackles. In total, Flamengo was 50% more successful than Atlético. It is a fundamental attack against a team positioned to attack and not defend. They tend to generate better free kick opportunities. João Gomes, Filipe Luís and Rodinei were the main ones in tackles for Flamengo, frustrating actions on the three fronts. And Mariano was the main player of Atlético-MG.


For all this to happen, other important fundamentals must occur, as well as dedication and intensity on the field. In this game, the players who most participated with the ball were Rodinei, Arana, Everton Ribeiro, Mariano, Thiago Maia and Filipe Luís. The Performance Factor is the result of analyzing fundamental data from hundreds of football games. With “machine learning” algorithms, patterns of combination of fundamentals of high performance teams were identified. Its application helps to identify opportunities and problems in teams, players and opponents. It can be used by those who believe in information. Its results are probabilistic and not deterministic, because a good kick changes everything, even if it has little chance of happening.


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About the author

Ricardo Villaça

Ricardo Villaça

Chief Artificial Intelligence Officer

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